Commentary
By Our Political Analyst
We are fade-up from the repeating of the report that the ruling five-party alliance was unable to settle the seat-sharing issue. Every day they meet and conclude the meeting with the agenda of settling down the seat-sharing issue in the next meeting. Be that as it may, the alliance partners are bargaining for more posts but they are not ready to quit the alliance as they all know they cannot ensure victory and some of them even cannot ensure a single seat in parliament if they go for election alone.
Reality:
The reality is that there are only two big parties UML and Nepali Congress (NC). The remaining parties hardly cross 10 seats from the direct or the first-past-the-post (FPTP) election if contested election alone. A front of the five parties dominated by the Left has been formed under the leadership of the NC to downsize the UML. UML seems confident about the election result, otherwise, it would have created obstacles in conducting the election on 20 November. If UML or NC tries to disturb the election, it won’t take place.
Alliance partners’ strategy:
All the Left parties in the alliance want to stop NC from bagging a majority in Parliament so it needs the support of the Left parties in the formation of the next government, where, they will get a share.
In the meantime, Maoist Center chair Pushpakamal Dahal and United Socialist Party chair Madhav Nepal have wished to become the prime minister by creating an atmosphere favourable to them. MC is trying to emerge as the second largest party with the support of the alliance partners and becoming a kingmaker in parliament.
Possible revolt in NC:
NC is the oldest party having many old leaders who cannot contest elections next time. Under the present alliance, many prominent leaders should sacrifice their candidature. Some can be adjusted in the proportional seats, but not all. They may revolt against the party.
Already, Dr Sekhar Koirala, who is leading the anti-Deuba camp, has warned president Sher Bahadur Deuba not to agree to below 100 seats for the NC. The central committee of the party has given the mandate to the president for developing an alliance for bagging a majority, otherwise, developing an alliance will be meaningless, Koirala is repeatedly saying.
UML’s real position:
If UML alone contests the election, it may face a humiliating defeat against the alliance front. Therefore, it has also decided to develop an alliance with other political parties including the RPP, RPP Nepal and Pariwar Dal and other small parties. The question is will such an alliance secure UML’s victory as expected?
The post-election scenario:
The present leg-pulling strategy of the Left parties in the alliance can be counterproductive for the alliance partners. Meanwhile, any possible cunning strategy being initiated by the UML cannot be ignored. In such a situation, all the parties may not be able to achieve a favourable result. Therefore, after the election result, trust among the alliance partners can be ended. Also, such an environment may create an opportunity for the Left parties to form a communist government even by including the UML as everything is possible in politics.
Worthless for the nation and people:
Whatever the election result and whoever forms the next government, it is meaningless. They all are practised to develop a syndicate to loot the nation, not to serve the nation and people. We have no hope at all that from the repetition of the same faces again and again, the new government will be dedicated and committed to the nation and people.
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