By Our Reporter
The future of the present alliance government led by Pushpa Kamal Dahal ‘Prachanda’ heavily depends on the movements of Nepali Congress president Sher Bahadur Deuba. Realising this, CPN-UML vice chairman Bishnu Prasad Paudel on Monday asked in the parliament whether the present coalition will last till mid-May.
As Deuba is too greedy for power, he could end the present coalition if the UML promised to support him from outside the government, because Oli and UML had a single goal to end Pushpa Kamal Dahal politically and this could be possible by keeping him and his party out of power.
However, other leaders in the NC may not be ready to topple the present government that early. As the NC, Maoist Centre and the CPN (Unified Socialist) had reached a deal during the presidential election to make Madhav Kumar Nepal the PM for a year and two and a half years, the NC leaders may not go against Nepal because it was Nepal who had brought NC in power in 2021 by breaking the CPN-UML.
As such, the present coalition could last for three and a half years if all goes as planned by Dahal, Deuba and Nepal. But any disagreement or misunderstanding between Dahal and Deuba could result in the collapse of the present government. Again, there are high chances of disputes in the ruling coalition parties over power-sharing because more leaders are willing to become ministers when constitutionally the Cabinet will have only 25 ministers.
Maybe, the parties will try to settle the issues in packages both in the centre and provinces because three provincial governments now led by UML could collapse at any time and the ruling parties may form a new government there.
Therefore, one cannot predict how long the present government and coalition will last. It can collapse in a year or it can last till the next elections.
Worsening economic scenario — widening gap between revenue and expenditure…global recession may create a difficult problem for Nepal.
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