By Nirmal P. Acharya
On the morning of June 18, US Secretary of State Blinken arrived in Beijing, and the leaders of China and the US began face-to-face contact.
Mr. Blinken’s visit to Beijing can be interpreted as a game of chess. As soon as the doubles are seated at the negotiating table, they begin to play their cards. It is generally believed that the trump card in the hands of the Americans is the US military.
However, it has not been proven how powerful the US military really is. Since World War II, the US has waged many wars, but most of them have been unsuccessful. If you look back at the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the Afghanistan War, and so on, the images of the end are still vivid and embarrassing to the US.
I personally think America’s trump card should be the color revolution. The destruction of the Soviet Union without firing a shot was an achievement that no one has ever achieved before or will ever achieve again, and one that the US will always be proud of.
At present, China is the world’s strongest industrial country and nuclear power. American industry has been hollow, there is no way to rely on the US military, or hard power to bring down China. The only hope to bring down China is a color revolution.
But in my observation, the best window of time for the US to engage in a color revolution in China has already been missed. At present, the mainstream of the Chinese political elite is highly wary of the color revolution, and the favorable impression of the people on the American ideology is rapidly declining. The “White Paper Revolution” that emerged at the end of last year had only a few dozen real participants, not even enough to make ripples.
Against China, the strength of the US military is not enough, the strength of the color revolution is not enough, and cannot become the trump card in the hands of the US. But Mr. Blinken must have an ace in his pocket. Otherwise, why fly all the way to Beijing?
Come to think of it, I can’t figure it out. Finally, I had to guess that the trump card Blinken had in his pocket was MCC. The MCC, located just outside China’s fragile western border, is not regulated, audited by the Nepalese government or subject to Nepali law, so no one knows exactly how much military and high-tech content it contains. Perhaps the MCC is the secret weapon used by the US to win the game against China.
If Mr. Blinken suddenly plays the MCC card in China, China’s foreign minister, Qin Gang, will most likely be caught off guard.
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