Saturday, September 12, 2026 02:16 PM

Political center of gravity shifts to South Asia’s Nepal

National/Regional Affairs:

Kashmir, Kabul and Kathmandu are new flashpoints

By N. P. Upadhyaya

Kathmandu: The forces which unseated Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli have some more “hidden” designs. The ultimate desire is at least to Bhutanise the ever independent and sovereign nation-Nepal. But isn’t Nepal already an Indian protectorate? Though the idea of Mrs Indira Gandhi was to Sikkimise Nepal yet for some “reasons” she postponed the exclusive scheme for some time. The process though is in full speed as would be evident from the Indian manoeuvring of the Nepali politics which has suddenly taken a new turn immediately after the unceremonious ouster of KP Oli who, though India’s hand, yet tried hard to incorporate the “missing lands” in the new and administrative map of Nepal. Oli’s new map effort had a bad taste for Madhav Nepal and Prachanda.

Needless to say, the missing lands were in the illegal occupation of the number one expansionist of the South Asian region that is the former British and Mughal’s administered colony called India aka Hindustan aka Bharat. Today’s India is much junior to Nepal as Nepal existed even in the times of the Mahabharata era. This should mean that present-day India aka Hindustan aka Bharat is a collection of thousands of fractured states which were “forcefully” assimilated by the successive rulers who ruled today’s India several centuries in the past. Reliable history records claim that one of the great warriors of the Mahabharata era, Karna, have had visited Nepal. Though the Indian establishment is ever active in Nepal yet after PM Oli’s ejection from the chair with the Supreme Court’s express-binding-command, the Indian machinations have doubled their infiltration in the national politics with the sole agenda in mind that Nepal’s sovereign and independent “existence” status must be “annihilated” and finally the sovereign nation gets annexed by the sinister Indian regime that unfortunately borders Nepal in the South. The US is yet to understand India better.

However, this is not to emphasize that the Court sacked Prime Minister Oli who was a sacrosanct persona. No. He was absolutely not. Instead, PM Oli barring a few nationalistic incidents, was out and out India’s “beloved” man since the Mahakali River Treaty which was ratified by the Nepali Parliament in the mid-nineties.

Remarkably, KP Oli and his entire UML team (that obviously included Madhav Kumar Nepal and others) have had been serving the “Indian interests” in a secret manner. It was widely believed at the time of the Mahakali River treaty ratification that the then Indian Ambassador K.V Rajan opened his embassy’s coffer to satisfy the lust for money of the UML leaders then championed by KP Sharma Oli. Oli’s “devotion” to the Indian regime got doubled when unfortunately this thug communist from Jhapa district was told that his “two kidneys” needed immediate replacement. Indian regime came to the rescue of the lanky communist and Oli got his kidneys replaced in the Medanta Hospital, Delhi, which, needless to say, with the Indian government’s complete funding.

The ailing thug communist got a new lease of life which, as a matter of obligation, KP Oli vowed perhaps to serve the Indian expansionists till the last breath. Even after his expulsion from the chair, former PM Oli is yet whispered to have been enjoying “blessings” from the enemy regime in the South. That India is playing the destabilizing game in Nepal becomes evident when one comes to understand that the former “India trained and indoctrinated” Delhi residing Nepal Maoists leaders, albeit the fractured and dissipated ones, have begun to converge at a point “presumably” instructed and ordered by the same dirty and ugly Indian regime in order to “finish” Nepal.

No wonder then the “revolutionary leader of the splinter Maoist, Netra Bikram Chand who had entered the national politics through the kind courtesy of the erstwhile Prime Minister KP Oli was suddenly found “meeting” with the Delhi’s declared man Prachanda just the day after PM Oli was overthrown from the PM’schair.

Chand’s meeting with Prachanda after Oli’s unceremonious ouster does tell that the Indian establishment which had designed and funded the People’s War against Nepal is once again trying hard to collect the entire scattered and fractured thug Maoists and bring them all in a camp so that the “entire” Delhi funded and trained team pounces upon Nepal and formally disintegrates the nation which is what the Indian regime since the birth of the RAW spy agency came into existence, desires. Thus Netra Bikram Chand’s meeting with the known Delhi man-Prachanda bodes ill for the nation. Highly placed sources claim that India will not take rest until it swallows Nepal summarily for which it’s posted and paid are ready to assist India. Front runners are active these days in Nepal. Chand met with Madhab Nepal and the likes including the “religion card man” Kamal Thapa, chairman, RPP.

Yet another thug communist Narayan Kazi Shrestha, as per one YouTuber political analyst emphatically says that Narayan has ever remained in favor of granting “free” Nepali citizenship certificates to the Indian nationals as is being demanded by India-bend parties in Nepal. Narayan never ever has said that the Nepali origin-Indian nationals of Darjeeling, Sikkim, and Assam be granted Indian certificates by the Indian government. Narayan’s “attitude” speaks that he is more interested in making Nepal an Indian province. It is rumoured, that Narayan has been assigned a stupendous task by the Indian establishment to monitor each and every political event that is related to India in Nepali politics. Earlier to the movement, Narayan was nowhere and nonentity in Nepali politics but suddenly got elevated in national politics much the same way as the RAW, it is believed, elevated the ranks of Krishna Prasad Sitaula-the late GP Koirala’s stooge. Both Sitaula and Narayan are supposed to be the “men” of the Indian regime who have been told to “control and tame” the Nepali politics by India.

Sitaula from the Nepali Congress is the one who even if not were a parliamentarian but forwarded a proposal in Shyaam Sharan constructed Nepali constituent Assembly in 2008 May that His Majesty King Gyanendra be told to abdicate the crown within a fortnight. India is so much entrenched in Nepali politics that any prime minister the country has, is said to have been the pick of the Indian regime.

No wonder that the present political mess seen in national politics is the “construct” of India’s RAW agency. This means that the RAW is with former PM Oli and the RAW is with UML leader M. K. Nepal. Nepal is a known Indian hand in Nepal which he has himself proved many a time in the past. Nepal got defeated in two different constituencies yet was elevated to the rank of Nepali PM.

Nepal, during his premiership, is learnt to have kept himself engaged in the biggest ever land scam of the Lalita Nivas (the government-owned property) and allocated the land to his henchmen either in bureaucracy or in the UML Party including the previous finance minister Bishnu Poudel. Poor, rag-bag-bobby-tail Pudel is one of the billionaires who has reportedly squeezed the nation-state in millions and millions like other thugs in the UML communists.

Nepal is talked to be a Christian Pastor as he brought the Holy Wine phenomenon from South Korea to Nepal. Nepal has close ties with the RAW agency.

The freshly deposed PM Oli claims that his competitor Nepal “is enjoying the blessings not only of the RAW but of some very powerful international agencies whose combined efforts deposed him. Oli is also, by extension, accusing the Apex Court to have been influenced by the same “international agencies” which caused his unceremonious ouster from the PM’s chair. If Oli is correct then the search should in earnest begin to find out as to which “international agencies” in collaboration with the enemy RAW agency worked to sack PM Oli?

Apart from the ongoing monkey-fight between the Oli and Madhav camp, the country is all set to take a nasty turn in politics as fierce protests against the US project MCC (Millennium Challenge Corporation) is increasing with marches and lectures being made by various activists who claim themselves as strong nationalists. They blame that those who have been challenging the US project are all supporters of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Yet some others claim that new PM Deuba will get the MCC passed through the Nepali parliament for which he has been awarded this post by the express orders of the Apex Court.

What is of great political significance is that while the national politics is tempered with the MCC project, the Chinese President Xi Jinping has just finished his “meaningful” sudden trip to Nepal’s adjoining Chinese province Tibet. The Chinese President is learnt to have taken a special interest in linking Nepal with Tibet through Railways as early as possible. President Xi’s unexpected visit to Lhasa is a testimony to the fact that Nepal is being taken as a strategically important place by the Chinese regime. Notably, Nepal is a signatory of China’s BRI.

Equally important is the fresh visit of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken to New Delhi wherein Blinken is learnt to have told India that the US will henceforth look at the countries of the South Asian region through Delhi’s lens. India is a member of the Quad that comprises the US, Australia, Japan and India.

Nepal shall be looked at through Indian eyes and so Nepal has reasons to be unhappy with the US as Nepal is the first-ever country to have established diplomatic links with the US some seventy plus years ago. India was not even born. The US can look at Nepal through its own lens if it so desires. If the US makes India the boss of the SA region then the US will be at a loss in many more ways than one. To counter the impending Indian hegemony then China hopefully will enter the region with a big bang. The Russians may follow Chinese suit. This is for sure which shall usher in a big fight between the two superpowers. The situation then will be the US versus China and Russia. Pakistan surely will join the camp where China is. Clearly, the center of gravity of international politics now has shifted to South Asia’s Nepal. If the US makes India the boss of the South Asian region then China and Russia may encourage Pakistan to blunt the increasing Indian hegemonic/coercive influence in the region with full force.

To match India, China will for sure declare Pakistan as the next capable and formidable rival regional power in South Asia with chances of Pakistan being told by China to talk to and care for the “good” of the smaller countries of the SA region which unfortunately border India. The Maldivians too have recently found India as an enemy. If so then, the India-Pakistan rivalry will take a new height. The already volatile SA region will further take a dangerous course, security-wise, after the US forces leave Afghanistan for good in September.

Rumors are that the fate of Afghanistan has been left to the mercy of the Indian establishment by the US administration. This will pave the way for yet another exodus of Afghani refugees in Pakistan which in turn heighten a proxy war between India and Pakistan through Afghanistan. The Afghan refugee influx may also hit Nepal as India will drive them all to Nepal as Delhi did with the Bhutanese nationals in the early nineties. This, if correct, will even create more flashpoints in South Asia apart from Kashmir.

In the end, the US and China will meet in Kathmandu, not in a friendly way. Kathmandu is likely to be the third possible flashpoint in South Asia. The second one obviously will be Kabul. Guaranteed. That’s all.

 

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