Thursday , April 18 2019
Home / Commentary / In-Depth Analysis / Nepal helps SAARC to die; Kashmir issue mars regional stability; Saudi Arabia is now game changer
Machhapuchre Bank

Nepal helps SAARC to die; Kashmir issue mars regional stability; Saudi Arabia is now game changer

N.P. UPADHYAYA
Not much remains to be said when one learns that a Swedish thinker of international repute Ashok Swain, a professor of peace and conflict research at the Department of Peace and Conflict in Sweden, is recording each and every political events that have been happening in India of late.
He emphatically states through his tweeter accounts that India shouldn’t and must not get into Modi’s manipulated pre-election war frenzy. “The desire for revenge makes people blind and leads to self-destructive actions. An armed confrontation, even if it fails to lead to nuclear holocaust, it will end India’s democracy forever!”
Professor Swain posted on social media wherein he very powerfully claims “Mark my word – In the next 5 months, Modi will smile more in public and will cry more in public. India should be also prepared for a major riot and/or a major border confrontation with Pakistan before the 2019 election”. It was the prediction made by this Swedish Professor of Indian origin as back as in December last year or even before.
The India-born Swedish academician, who has since now received multiple death threats by radical groups in India, had in December last year predicted, as stated earlier, a “major border confrontation” with Pakistan which would benefit PM Modi before the upcoming general elections.
And the Pulwama attack of the previous week appears a part of Professor Swain’s prediction. Can we trust to what this Professor said in advance?
And this is what has in effect happened. It was really an unfortunate event which took some fifty innocent lives.
Terrorists’ attacks and the deaths that follow can in no way be taken for granted but instead must be condemned in the strongest possible words. Nepal understands the pain because she has felt it for over a decade under the tutelage of the Indian regime.
India declared Nepal terrorists resided in New Delhi secretly which is now an open secret.
What should concern Nepal and its population that some five CRPF men of Nepali origin have been martyred in this Indian war game?
Nepal PM Oli, whose India tilt is not a secret now, was quick enough in condemning the Pulwama CRPF deaths, but he failed to appeal both India and Pakistan to negotiate the very root cause of the Kashmir conflict? War in between the two rivals at this stage may change the very geography of the South Asia as both are nuclear states. South Asian political stability much depends upon the amicable resolution of the Kashmir issue by the conflicting rivals.
Thus Nepal PM Oli sided with India and has thus assisted Delhi to kill SAARC. The regional body is no more. RIP.
Around the same time of the Avantipura-Pulwama attack, some Professors from Republic of Korea were attending a seminar in Seoul wherein they all, including the other seminar participants, had been condemning the acts of terrorism which has alarmed the world population and in the process has become a matter of international concern on how to contain this menace once and for all.
The seminar was organized by the Korean Press Club in Seoul, the capital of Republic of Korea.
The Korean Professors speaking at the international level seminar mainly condemned the use of the pellet guns on the innocent Muslim civilians in the Indian Occupied Kashmir by the Indian security forces.
For the fundamentalist Indian Bhartiya Janata Party, each and every Muslim, whether they be nationals of India or Pakistan, should necessarily be terrorists.
Aamir Khan and very freshly Nasir Uddin Shah, the noted celebrities of the Bollywood world, have already tested as to what it means to be a Muslim minority in a fundamentalist India now under the tight control of the Hindu fanatics.
Both the Muslim actors have kept silence after being reprimanded by their “Hindu friends”. They appear scared now.
By the way, Nepal too has a Hindu majority population but prefers “tolerance” and in no way the Nepalese Hindus could be taken as fundamentalist as those who were in India pouncing upon the minority Muslims.
“Nepal is a classic example of Hindu-Muslim tolerance over ages”, claim even outside observers.
It should be noted that for the people living in Kashmir administered by the Indian establishment, the Indian security forces do what they wish to do with the terror stricken population living there backed by their brutal war machine. Instances of rape and arbitrary killings of the Muslims, generally taken as the freedom fighters, has already become a regular phenomenon to which neither the Indian government nor the International community expresses their least concern and thus the wanton killing of the Kashmiri freedom fighters continues unabated. The United Nations prefers not to speak or say to annoy the Indian establishment for reasons kept a secret since 1948. This is a mystery indeed. But why is the UN body is silent over the Kashmiri killings? Why the International body prefers India over the silent cry of the innocent Kashmiris? Nepal observers remain puzzled over such a “tilted” stance taken by the UN Body.
Eric Lee, the Professor of International Relations at the Dongguk University, South Korea, said that “the Geneva Convention prohibits the use of the weapons that cause excessive injury or unnecessary suffering including the use of the pellet guns”. The Indian security forces prefer pellet guns and even do not spare the children below five as and when the kids come into the streets.
Similarly, the former South Korean Ambassador to Pakistan Dr. Lee Whejin attending the seminar too said that the manner the civilians residing in the Indian Occupied Kashmir are being treated by the Indian military forces were “contrary to the International Humanitarian law”.
India doesn’t take such expressions as binding upon it.
Having recorded this, observers are reminded of the now dethroned King Gyanendra who while in power a decade and a half back had time and again appealed the Indian Government then headed by Dr. Man Mohan Singh (also taken as an accidental Prime Minister by a BJP functionary) to understand the real definition of the word terrorism and that “terrorism is terrorism…it doesn’t differ from country to country…it is the same everywhere…whether it be Nepal or for that matter India”. The Nepal King then had said but all went in vain.
In fact Delhi has exported terrorism in Nepal over those years.
The now ousted monarch had reiterated the same appeal both in Dhaka and in Jakarta to the Indian PM Dr. Singh who did not take the King’s opinions in a way that he should have been. Mind it that while the King was making such appeals to the Indian PM, Indian regime too had been struggling with the home grown Indian Maoists (Naxalites) who have had already become a security threat to the Indian administration across the country. The threat continues even as of now.
Quite rightly says Dr. Farooq Abdullah, a Kashmiri politician of high repute, that the incidents of the sort of Pulwama attack shall continue even in the days ahead and thus what he advised his government, in his own words, that “The Government must initiate talks with the dissatisfied men right inside India administered Kashmir who have taken this disturbing route….Unless the government takes a somewhat modest posture against the “freedom fighters, such incidents of the Avantipura type shall recur at regular intervals”. Dr. Abdullah was talking to some Indian TV channels after the Pulwama attack.
“The Indian government must go into the cause of the terrorists attacks”, claims Dr. Abdullah.
Back in India, many now have begun talking of the government’s Intelligence failure.
The Chief Minister of West Bengal Mamta Banerjee while mourns the killings of the Pulwama incident, she concurrently slams the Modi government “for politicizing the attack and demanded its ouster for failing to take precautionary measures despite an intelligence alert of a possible attack.
Banerjee also accused the RSS and the BJP of trying to incite communal violence in her state, report Indian news agencies.
“So many jawans have been killed. We seek punishment for the perpetrators, but responsibility for the negligence must also be fixed. There should be an investigation into the incident,” said Mamta Banerjee while speaking to reporters at the state Secretariat February 18, 2019.
Alleging that last month an American intelligence advisory had warned of communal violence in India in the name of elections, the Chief Minister asked, “Why was action not taken despite this intelligence report?”
Mamata hits the nail right on the head of PM Modi.
“Why was a convoy of 78 vehicles transporting over 2,000 troopers allowed to go together, when the government had information about a possible attack? Why were precautionary measures not taken? Why have so many people died?” questions the West Bengal Chief Minister.
The countries who apparently hate Pakistan under Indian pressure were quick enough in reprimanding Islamabad by saying that PM Imran Khan must not waste time in allowing safe haven to the terrorists that create problems in India occasionally, as people have been made to understand. The US for unknown reasons takes Pakistan in a wrong manner. However, the Afghanistan issue will not be settled sans Pakistan’s active and meaningful support. The US knows this fact.
“I told Ajit Doval today that we support India’s right to self-defense,” US national security adviser John Bolton said, February 16, 2019.
Having said this, a recent tweet from an unnamed person prefers to hint the USA, in his own words, “The US should first evaluate if it is in Pakistan’s or that of the Indian interests to stage a terrorist attack? It has been timed on the Saudi Crown Prince visit to Pakistan, economic recovery of Pakistan gained over these years after the functioning of the CPEC projects, the recent thaw in Pak-US relations, and above all the approaching Indian elections and the recent set back to the ruling BJP is three important States? And the very entrance of an Indian Congress bombshell Priyanka Gandhi in the political scene too must have caused panic among the ruling elites and thus they may have ignored the incident for which the ruling elites have already been informed by secret information agencies.
This person also claims that it is the Intelligence failure of the Indian national security advisor Ajit Doval which allowed the Pulwama incident to happen to what has also been alleged by Mrs. Mamta Banarjee.
Interestingly, Mr. Ajit Doval’s son has a Pakistani national as his business partner, media agencies have reported the authenticity of which remains yet to be substantiated.
An Indian national who was associated with Indian security agencies for several years, Mr. Tej Bahadur, talking to some domestic TV channels says that “the government must not have allowed the CRPF men to travel in a unshielded Bus and that the needed security wasn’t provided to the CRPF men….the news must have been leaked from within the security agencies which may have caused this sad incidents to take place”.
The Tamil film icon turned politician Kamal Hassan demands that he wants to know that why India was “scared” to hold a plebiscite in the Kashmir Valley and Hassan termed the terrorists as “jihadi fighters”, say media agencies. He is being taken to task.
In the meanwhile, the visiting Saudi Crown Prince has assured Pakistan that he would do all he can to de-escalate the tensions in between India and Pakistan while he will reside in India, said the Saudi Foreign Minister to one Pakistani news agency.
By the time, this story gets printed, the Saudi dignitary will have already landed in China for a two day visit or may even have returned back to his home country.
During his Pakistan stint, the Saudi Arabian crown prince has pledged $20 billion worth of investments in Pakistan to shore up the country’s struggling economy while strengthening bilateral ties at a time when Islamabad is trying to revive its global standing, writes Salman Masood and Maria Abi-Habib for the New York Times 18 February, 2019.
The pledges made Sunday evening — about double what had been expected — would also help Saudi Arabia’s economy by setting up infrastructure, including an oil refinery, to secure Pakistan as a market for Saudi crude oil.
Saudi Arabia must have looked into its interests also while funding in Pakistan.
Kicking off a tour of Asia with a visit beginning from Pakistan early this week, the Saudi crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman (SMB), held separate meetings with Pakistan’s Prime Minister, Imran Khan, and the country’s army chief, Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa, endorsing the country’s two levers of power.
Pakistani security and the government officials gave a red carpet welcome to the Saudi Prince, writes the New York Times, which they said was an important opportunity to strengthen military ties with Saudi Arabia.
Out of the 20 Billion from Saudi Arabia, some 8 billion shall be utilized for installing one Oil refinery at Gwadar and the rest shall go in the sector such as, energy, petro-chemicals and mining sectors, it has been reported.
$20 billion is equivalent to 15. 5 billion Pound.
Before we conclude, The unprecedented Saudi investment is seen as a ‘game changer’ and major boost for Pakistan’s struggling economy, which now gets a much-needed breathing space to negotiate better terms and conditions with IMF.
Saudi Arabia has in effect came to Pakistan at a time when the latter needed substantial help to come out from the terrible financial crunch. The support of the 20 Billion to Pakistan in a way has matched to what the Chinese have been doing for Pakistan over these years. Or it even exceeded China’s. Some sharp brains believe that China must have hinted Saudi Arabia to award this help to Pakistan. The Saudi Crown Prince is visiting China after India by the end of this week.
This is his image building week for the Saudi Prince beginning from Asia. The visit has dividends for Saudi Arabia too for sure.
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, also known as MBS, witnessed the $20 billion plus investment agreements just a few hours after landing in Islamabad on his maiden state visit to Pakistan during the first leg of his Asian tour that will also include stops in neighboring India and China.
“It’s a big for phase one and definitely it’s going to grow every month, every year in big numbers and will be beneficial for both countries. Saudi Arabia cannot say no to Pakistan,” the Crown Prince said the day he landed in Islamabad.
“Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are taking their relationship to a new level. Our relationship is based on investment, which will mutually benefit both the countries,” Imran Khan said.
In yet another positive development for Pakistan, more than 2,000 Pakistani workers languishing in Saudi jails will be released, Pakistan’s information minister Fawad Choudhary announced on Monday during Saudi Arabian crown prince’s high-profile visit to Islamabad.
In a most surprising event, the Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman “ordered the immediate release of 2,107 Pakistani prisoners”, after a “personal” request by Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan.
Now for the Road: Back home, meanwhile, the Constitutional Bench of the Supreme Court under Chief Justice Cholendra SJB Rana has begun its final hearings on two writ petitions by victims’ relatives seeking Court’s intervention to punish a former Maoist Leader Agni Prasad Sapkota for his alleged involvement in the murder of a school teacher.
This Bench will decide whether the Conflict Cases could be tried in a regular Court of Justice or under separate transitional justice mechanisms. Two other similar cases are also pending against other Maoist leaders, writes S. Chandrasekharan for the Sri Lankan Guardian, February 18, 2019.
The Ruling will be significant if the Supreme Court allows the cases to be tried in regular courts. There will be a flood of such cases and the Government will not be in a position to cover up or delay such cases as it had tried to do so far. The former Maoist Leader who was responsible for the loss of innocent lives during the conflict will be cornered.
Interviews with the ex-Maoist Cadres who are struggling to survive after initial social ostracization indicate that they strictly followed the orders of their commanders and now regret having joined the movement with high ideals and ambitions and now left to languish in poverty and threat of criminal action! That’s all for this week.

Check Also

Is Oli last PM of republic Nepal? Humanity is bleeding in Kashmir

By N.P. Upadhyaya Late Girija Prasad Koirala handpicked law maker of the Nepali Congress, Mr. …