L’etat: C’est Moi!
The radical communist government led by an accidentally made nationalist Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli is in a fix. Yet his egotism has increased for reasons unknown.
The government, if it may be taken as the one, is being attacked from all possible quarters for having failed to deliver. Instead of deliverance of goods to the common people, the Prime Minister administers heavy doses of irrelevant jokes to the people which speaks volume of the PM’s depth of knowledge and understanding the gravity of politics obtaining in the country. Some even question his academic qualifications.
The all pervasive corruption part has been kept aside as the entire system, the advent of which, now has become clear as to why the Nepali political animals then had bowed down to the Indian regime.
The all pervasive corruption is taking its toll, for example, the deal carried out while acquiring the new Wide body Air Bus jet airliner has almost exposed the present day leaders who control the system under the guise of two thirds majority. Some four billion rupees has been gulped by some leaders in this Wide Body jet scam.
In sum, the political change of the India sponsored 2005-6 event was obviously meant for serving India better to which the sitting monarchs had denied so far.
The Prime Minister though has emerged in the political scene as a diehard nationalist for having braved the inhumane economic blockade imposed by the Indian regime on Nepal in 2015, however, with the passage of time, he has exhibited his real face in that he just for few months acted as a nationalistic personality and sided with the Chinese regime which in fact was a trick played by the PM Oli under the dictates of the Indian establishment. PM Oli from tip to toe was and is a Prime Minister whose heart and soul sings the Indian national anthem, it is widely believed. The tragedy is that the Chinese believe that PM Oli was their yes man to which he is not. China must come out from this delusion.
For example, PM Oli was a regular visitor of the Medanta Hospital, Delhi, for his “free” renal treatment, it must be recalled here. This should explain Oli’s inner reason for his uninterrupted India tilt.
Sensing the political fluctuations observed in Nepali Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli and concluding that he could be seduced easily, the US approached the Nepal government last December 2018, and urged to play a “central role” in the US designed Indo-Pacific strategic conglomerate.
The US Secretary of State Pompeo made this appeal straight to the Nepali Foreign Minister Pradip Gyawali when the latter was in the US for a friendly visit last December.
Listening to this lucrative US proposal, the government having an India tilt from the very beginning perhaps provided “secretly” its positive nod to the US political overture, however, when the issue was properly analyzed in Kathmandu by Pundits of International relations then what came to the fore was that Nepal being an active member of the Non Aligned Movement, NAM, must not enter into any strategic alliance for multiple reasons more so not to be a part of any game that in some way or the other were aimed at the containment of China.
To recall, the US is on record to have openly encouraged India way back in 2013 when the then Secretary of State, Mrs. Hilary Clinton delivering a lecture at the Mumbai University suggested India not only to lead the South Asian politics but look beyond as well which clearly meant that the US preferred to handover the managerial authority of this part of the world to the Indian regime with a hope that China could be tamed or contained eventually.
One veteran Pakistani senator, Mushahid Hussain has been saying since a decade or so that a “great game” is being played for the containment of China. Has the US appeal made to Nepal something to do with Hussain’s presumption? Let it be a matter of intense debate for the pundits of international relations here and beyond. Mr. Hussain now talks of greater South Asia which includes China, Iran and the entire central Asian Republics. However, India has the liberty to join or reject its inclusion in the greater South Asian scheme.
Since the US understands better that Nepal’s communist regime is under the complete control of the Indian regime and thus the US concluded that Nepal government, the satellite of the Indian regime, could well be seduced and later convincingly used to contain China.
Observers take India as the new satellite of the US. Some even talk that India is the new stallion of the Trump administration.
Nepal’s importance lay in its geo strategic location in South Asia. To contain China, if she could be contained, Nepal could be the best location and this reality the US knows better.
India has been playing the Dalai Lama Card against China beginning the era of late Nehru-the then Indian Prime Minister.
However, International observers in Kathmandu while appreciated the US appeal made to Nepal to play a central role but concurrently they unanimously suggested the Nepal government not to enter into any military type of alliance with the US or for that matter with any country, near or far, that demands the Nepali involvement in destabilizing China, Nepal’s immediate northern neighbor.
Whatever may have been the US motive behind seeking Nepal’s central role in the entire plan of the Indo-Pacific strategy, the appeal itself in many more ways than one has enhanced Nepal’s prestige in the comity of nations and also has highlighted Nepal’s strategic importance in South Asia.
To recall, late King Birendra had once defined Nepal as a country in South Asia which touches both India and China, the immediate giant neighbors in the South and North, and that Nepal was not in any way a part of the Indian subcontinent as the world prefers to take Nepal as a part of the Indian sub-continent to which, as per late King Birendra, she is not.
Nepal’s foreign minister though has denied that he has accepted the US request to play a key role in the Indo-Pacific strategy, but some cynical observers believe that the minister may not have rejected the appeal made by a super power as is being given to understand by the official quarters.
High placed sources claim that the US approached Nepal for the key role only when convinced by the Indian regime-the new stallion of the US establishment.
Writes Mr. Bhim Bhurtel in one of his fresh write up that “Gyawali’s visit turned out to be counter-productive to himself and his government because he was heavily maligned at a meeting of the Standing Committee of the ruling Nepal Communist Party (NCP) over statements issued by his ministry and the US State Department after the bilateral talks.
This means that Nepal FM’s statement as regards the US appeal made to Nepal could not even get positive sanction from his own political party. This is unfortunate.
The statements of the two countries not only differed in terms of the narrative but also contradicted each other, adds Mr. Bhurtel. Nepal’s statement didn’t include its role in the Indo-Pacific strategy, whereas the US statements speaks of “Nepal’s central role in a free, open, and prosperous Indo-Pacific, and global issues, including North Korea.” As a result, editorials in the main dailies in Nepal said that the US tried to turn the country against its northern neighbor, China. This perhaps explains as to how FM Gyawali’s trip to the US was taken in his own home country.
The US thus preferred to view Nepal through the Indian lens.
Foreign-policy experts in Kathmandu see the high-level visits the US has arranged since Washington began to sell its Indo-Pacific Strategy (known as the Asia Pivot Strategy during Barack Obama administration) to Nepal as being mostly about containing China. India is the crucial partner in the Indo-Pacific alliance, being both on the Indian Ocean and having territory in the Himalayas, adds Mr. Bhurtel.
And this approach has been made at a time when the US learnt through its sleuths that China has already penetrated into the Afghanistan peace process. To recall, three days ahead of the US plea made to Nepal to play a key role in the Indo-Pacific plan, China kept engaged itself together with Pakistan and Afghanistan for a tri lateral comprehensive peace initiative on December 15, 2018.
And just three days later of this Chinese secret initiative, December 18, 2018 to be more precise, Nepal was appealed by the US for playing the key role in the US designed strategy, as mentioned above, perhaps with a grand thought that Nepal if ballooned and seduced could be easily used through its corrupt leaders now ruling the country to tease Nepal.
And look Nepal really felt ballooned in that just the other day Foreign Minister Pradip Gyawali met a special set of media men who have played the key roles in any system, now or before to the advent of this political structure, and said that “Nepal’s prestige and popularity has dramatically increased in the comity of nations. Minister Gyawali was referring to his meet with the US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on December 18, 2018, wherein the latter urged Nepal to play a key role.
“She smiled and I concluded that she has fallen in love with me”, is what could be drawn from the US-Nepal meet last December meet. Minister Gyawali’s immediate conclusion is that Nepal’s global approach has been enhanced with the US appeal, however, Nepal has to remain alert in sensing the motive of the US in having made this appeal. Well, enhancing greater political contacts with the US is simply superb but yet Nepal must not forget the fact that she is one of the founding fathers of the Non Aligned Movement and the very geostrategic location of this country demands that Nepal in no way be a part of any strategic alliance which teases ultimately its two giant neighbors.
Intelligent brains in Nepal guess that the US may have assured Nepal of a huge financial support in lieu of this central role game. The Nepali minister has preferred to remain tight lipped in this regard.
Minister Gyawali though has rebuked the media claim in Kathmandu that Nepal responded positively to the US plea, however, the US side beamingly asserts that Nepal gave a positive nod to the US offer. It is this contradiction that has made the common people of Nepal to think as to what would happen to this country’s nonaligned status if it gets carried away and becomes in some way or the other a political tool to destabilize the emerging Super power-China and even its ever domineering next door traditional neighbor-India.
“We have an Independent and a balanced foreign policy”, is what the Minister Gyawali said while talking to the “all-system-friendly” Nepal’s vibrant media.
Thanks he did not mention that Nepal of late more so after the 2005-6 political change has been adjusting its foreign policy as dictated by the Indian regime. Indian PM Modi has now reasons to smile. In a way, Nepal foreign policy is pegged with the Indian one a la baby Bhutan-the virtual Indian protectorate.
Currently, needless to say, Nepal’s foreign policy is what the Indian PM Modi desires. It is where China, the Northern neighbor should exhibit its concern. Hopefully the newly appointed Chinese Ambassador to Nepal will keep this fact in her diplomatic brain and also watch the unpredictable Nepali fluctuations into proper account.
Many political men associated with this communist government are talked to have tacit links with the anti-China elements in Kathmandu.
The arrival of the Japanese foreign minister to Nepal also adds the needed significance to the US desire that Nepal play a key role in the Indo-Pacific scheme of things. Japan, the bete noir of China, is a key country in the US designed Indo-Pacific strategy, it must not be forgotten. And the arrival of the French foreign Secretary to Nepal too has complicated the entire politics and forces one to think as to why all of a sudden the arrival of foreign dignitaries from far flung countries who in many more ways than one are believed to be aligned with the US strategy and were allies of the US since long?
PM Oli’s arrogance has taken a new height in that he now thinks that he is the State. He makes speeches that annoy the common people and even at times forces the people to think as to whether one party radical communist dictatorship has already entered into the body politic of the country? The PM instead of being polite and modest as is demanded of him scolds the social sector and says that any attack on his government is an attempt to malign the system now in force that is the all repulsive republican order which does not enjoy the majority sympathy.
He even sees the criticism being made of President as to have been an attack on the system itself. This speaks of his political bankruptcy.
In effect, in saying so PM Oli appears to have been feeling scared due to the increasing popularity of the former King Gyanendra who has been benefitting politically with the decay in the popularity of the rulers of the India installed and dictated leaders.
PM Oli has also begun manipulating with national statistics in order to send signals to the people that his tenure in government has yielded positive results to which it is not. He is misleading the countrymen.
While on the one hand the former King is enjoying as a commoner across the nation then on the other, the rulers of the day, who are equivalent tentatively to the new version of the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-Un in South Asia are being ridiculed for having deformed the Republican order through their own ad nauseating exhibition of greed for money and power.
Just the other day, a large section of people in Kathmandu chanted slogans inviting the former King to bounce back to politics by dismissing the current political order. The craze for the ousted monarch is definitely increasing. Similarly, Lokesh Dhakal of the NC party in no uncertain terms has begun talking in favor of the ousted monarchy.
The present day leaders have tentatively drained the system to the extent that one fine morning the system may declare itself a miserably failed one.
It is in this backdrop, observers in Nepal ask the US leadership as to why the latter is encouraging the emergence of yet another Kim Jong-Un in Nepal as if the one present in North Korea had not been enough? Should this mean that the US prefers communist dictatorial regime in Nepal?
The US can corrupt the current communist leadership in Nepal for temporary gains but ultimately the radical communists shall side with China for multiple reasons.
But this should not mean that the Nepal communists possess special love and honor for China. It is not that. A corrupt for the US shall remain a corrupt for the Indians and even for the Chinese leadership. China understands Nepal much better than the US.
Now let’s have a look into the regional politics.
CPEC has no military dimension:
In Bangladesh, India has won the just held elections. The newly elected Maldivian President has already paid his respect to the Indian regime by visiting India. Bhutan is reeling under Indian debt trap. Sri Lanka is in a state of fix. While India appears to have gained politically in South Asia for the time being, China, the number one rival of India is just waiting for an opportune moment in order to enter into the politics of South Asia in a more aggressive way. India continues to tease Pakistan as is evident from what Prime Minister Imran Khan has said just the other day in Karachi. “Anti-Pakistan sentiments were being raised in India during electioneering to gain political mileage in forthcoming polls to be held this year. He made these remarks during an interview granted to the Turkish broadcaster, reports the News Daily. PM Khan has just returned from a visit to Turkey.
Khan, during the interview, warned that it would be a suicide for the two nuclear-armed neighbors to opt for the resolution of bilateral issues through a war, reports the Pak daily. Prime Minister Imran Khan said, “Two nuclear-capable states can’t even afford a cold war, let alone a nuclear war.”
Here lay perhaps a strong message to India.
He shared that India had often rejected Pakistan’s offer to hold dialogues to resolve the issues amicably.
“India was offered to take one step towards and we shall take two,” Khan noted, saying, “But India rejected Pakistan’s offer for talks several times”, the Pak Premier added.
PM Imran Khan opined that the solution to Kashmir issue lies in talks between the two countries. He, however, noted that even the United Nations admitted to the indigenous Kashmiri struggle for independence.
Sharing Pakistan’s stance to end the Afghan conflict, Khan reiterated that there was no military solution to it, adding that regional countries should come forward to play their active role for sustainable peace in the war-torn country.
In the meantime, Pakistan has recently clarified that the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a bilateral economic project and has no military dimensions.
Foreign Office spokesman Mohammad Faisal very freshly said this at the weekly media briefing in Islamabad last Thursday when asked about a US media report that alleged that China has hatched a secret plan to build fighter jets and other military hardware in Pakistan as part of the USD 60 billion project. That’s all.